Setting aside for a moment the fact that I am still sick, let's talk about goals for tomorrow's half marathon. This is not a goal race, just a fun race that happens to fall on a week that I am scheduled to run 15 miles. I figure a hard 13.1 is equal to 15. (I'm a lawyer, not a mathmetician, don't judge.)
I punched in my 8K time from March (42:31) in the McMillan Running Calculator (aka my favorite way to obsess and waste time while at work). That says I should be able to run a half in 1:59:14, a 9:07/mi. pace. Then I punched in my goal time for the marathon (4:27, a 10:12/mi. pace -- which is the pace I've used in calculating my training paces). That says I should be able to run a half in 2:06:51, a 9:41/mi. pace.
My eventual goal is to run a sub-2 hour half marathon. I would be ecstatic if that happened tomorrow. But I'm not really planning on it. I haven't been training for it. Running a 2:06 would be a confidence booster for me, and would confirm that I am on track with my marathon training. And a 2:06 half would be a PR for me. So I'm going to shoot for between 9:10 and 9:40 minute miles and see what happens. My main goal is to run strong and not wimp out. And eat Chipotle after the race. Does it get any better?